Any thoughts on probability of 20% USA tariffs on purchases next year?

[glepore]

My stuff that arrived at NY on the 5th-6th is delayed and not tracking, but I see stuff incoming in my USPS emails from those areas now that couldn't be anything else, will know in a day or so. Suspect it got thrown in a large pile, and its been worked thru but not scanned until it reaches the next node in the system.

[00Garza]

Just put in an order of small Choice parts. We'll see how this goes.

[jonathanf2]

Good news. My items I ordered last week are out on delivery! 

The only items that are stuck, are the ones that arrived on Feb. 5th. I'm going to cancel that order once it passes the delivery due date (in a few days) to get my refund.

[glepore]

All of my stuck stuff (except 2 tiny jockey bolts) arrived yesterday.

[amacal1]

My order of a handfull of "essentials" from a week or two ago is out for delivery today. Stuff still seems to be making its way here.

[GSoroos]

Just my observation with my order: Choice items ended up in US customs Feb 5 and has never left. A couple of the items (all the choice items have the same USPS tracking number so must be packed together) in the package have had both their estimated delivery date extended out to March 1, but also the refund request time to 40 days (vs the normal 30 days).

I also had one item that wasn't a Choice item get shipped a day earlier, passed US customs on the Feb 7, and delivered on Feb 15.

Looking at this thread Feb 5 seems to be the magic date that a majority of orders that entered US customs got stuck into the black hole.

I'll be requesting my refunds as soon as I can if my order doesn't arrive.

[jonathanf2]

Just my observation with my order: Choice items ended up in US customs Feb 5 and has never left. A couple of the items (all the choice items have the same USPS tracking number so must be packed together) in the package have had both their estimated delivery date extended out to March 1, but also the refund request time to 40 days (vs the normal 30 days).

I also had one item that wasn't a Choice item get shipped a day earlier, passed US customs on the Feb 7, and delivered on Feb 15.

Looking at this thread Feb 5 seems to be the magic date that a majority of orders that entered US customs got stuck into the black hole.

I'll be requesting my refunds as soon as I can if my order doesn't arrive.

I'm bummed because I ordered a bike stem that's not on sale anymore and my order is stuck in the Feb. 5th black hole. I wonder if all that stuff is just getting dumped a landfill at this point? 

[glepore]

I'm bummed because I ordered a bike stem that's not on sale anymore and my order is stuck in the Feb. 5th black hole. I wonder if all that stuff is just getting dumped a landfill at this point? 

I don't think so. I think it created a giant backlog that is mostly getting worked thru. I got two packages yesterday from Feb 5, and they didn't scan as moving until they got local.

[GSoroos]

I don't think so. I think it created a giant backlog that is mostly getting worked thru. I got two packages yesterday from Feb 5, and they didn't scan as moving until they got local.

This is good to know. Thanks for reporting that. Looks like there is hope.